Mon. 08 - December 2025

From my memory, important levels to pay attention to are HTF levels, like Asia Low, Asia High, London Low, London High, and also 4H levels and zones like FVGs.
Here specifically, new week candle opens, and our last week’s candle was bullish, we have another BLL on HTF that we haven’t touched yet, therefore, we could expect price to seek lower liquidity before going up there.
SO, with that in mind, we can see what happens at market open - Price sweeps out AH level and also forms an SMT with ES - NQ sweeps it out, ES fails to do so. This is an extra confluence for a shift in structure. I’d look for a solid CISD which would be a strong move to the downside to confirm this shift.

5m chart, we see a 5m CISD - strong move to the downside and we have that AL lower as possible magnet for NQ to move towards to.
Now, you can see one potential issue that we could encounter in real time - ES reaches that AL very quickly, much quicker than NQ - this could scare you off in real time as that shows even more imbalance in price now. BUT, SMT is just a confluence, not a deciding factor for a trade.
So let’s look a little closer.

1 = Price sweeps major level of liquidity 2 = We form a 1m CISD then 5m CISD 3 = SMT with ES - We have 3 confluences that are in our favor of what direction to take here.
I pointed out two spots where I could see a potential entry. 1m Inversion which would work out targeting AL and also that 1m FVG after we confirm 5m CISD which would also work.

106 points here If we took that 1m inversion with low risk - why stop loss there? Because if we want to see price move to the downside, price shouldn’t break above last LH of bearish price movement. - IF entry was there, we could go breakeven after 5m CISD is confirmed.
NOW, question is - Why should we disregard the SMT which formed that’s against us as soon as ES hit the AL?

Because look at all of this lower residing sell-side liquidity on both NQ and ES. Those are easy low hanging fruits. IF price is attracted for the lows, which was our assumption from the start looking at things from HTF - then price is more likely to grab onto the nearest liquidity levels.